Regression modeling of Iraq Iran war using Lancaster/osipov war models

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چکیده

Iran and Iraq war data were obtained from internet and curve-fitted with Lanchester/Osipov war model. It was found that the data obeys the square law and that the war was a mixed one of 10.8% guerilla and 89.2% conventional as depicted by their parameters in the model. Also it was found that Iraq heavily used Chemical weapon (e.g. mustard gas, arsenic, mytotoxic) against Iranian soldiers. This is shown in the chemical casualty graph (Fig. 3). The continuous claim by the Iranians that the war was forced on them is shown in the initial commitment of troops to the war (Iraq (Ro) = 6484, Iran (Bo) = 2962). The inequality in the defensive and offensive parameters of the warring countries is found to be a: b = 12.34:1 signifying unequal fire power.

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تاریخ انتشار 2016