Week 1 Discrete time Gaussian Markov processes
نویسنده
چکیده
These are lecture notes for the class Stochastic Calculus offered at the Courant Institute in the Fall Semester of 2012. It is a graduate level class. Students should have a solid background in probability and linear algebra. The topic selection is guided in part by the needs of our MS program in Mathematics in Finance. But it is not focused entirely on the Black Scholes theory of derivative pricing. I hope that the main ideas are easier to understand in general with a variety of applications and examples. I also hope that the class is useful to engineers, scientists, economists, and applied mathematicians outside the world of finance. The term stochastic calculus refers to a family of mathematical methods for studying dynamics with randomness. Stochastic by itself means random, and it implies dynamics, as in stochastic process. The term calculus by itself has two related meanings. One is a system of methods for calculating things, as in the calculus of pseudo-differential operators or the umbral calculus. The tools of stochastic calculus include the backward equations and forward equations, which allow us to calculate the time evolution of expected values and probability distributions for stochastic processes. In simple cases these are matrix equations. In more sophisticated cases they are partial differential equations of diffusion type. The other sense of calculus is the study of what happens when ∆t → 0. In this limit, finite differences go to derivatives and sums go to integrals. Calculus in this sense is short for differential calculus and integral calculus, which refers to the simple rules for calculating derivatives and integrals – the product rule, the fundamental theorem of calculus, and so on. The operations of calculus, integration and differentiation, are harder to justify than the operations of algebra. But the formulas often are simpler and more useful: integrals can be easier than sums.
منابع مشابه
Week 3 Continuous time Gaussian processes
This week we take the limit ∆t → 0. The limit is a process Xt that is defined for all t in some range, such as t ∈ [0, T ]. The process takes place in continuous time. This week, Xt is a continuous function of t. The process has continuous sample paths. It is natural to suppose that the limit of a Markov process is a continuous time Markov process. The limits we obtain this week will be either ...
متن کاملPresentation of K Nearest Neighbor Gaussian Interpolation and comparing it with Fuzzy Interpolation in Speech Recognition
Hidden Markov Model is a popular statisical method that is used in continious and discrete speech recognition. The probability density function of observation vectors in each state is estimated with discrete density or continious density modeling. The performance (in correct word recognition rate) of continious density is higher than discrete density HMM, but its computation complexity is very ...
متن کاملPresentation of K Nearest Neighbor Gaussian Interpolation and comparing it with Fuzzy Interpolation in Speech Recognition
Hidden Markov Model is a popular statisical method that is used in continious and discrete speech recognition. The probability density function of observation vectors in each state is estimated with discrete density or continious density modeling. The performance (in correct word recognition rate) of continious density is higher than discrete density HMM, but its computation complexity is very ...
متن کاملADK Entropy and ADK Entropy Rate in Irreducible- Aperiodic Markov Chain and Gaussian Processes
In this paper, the two parameter ADK entropy, as a generalized of Re'nyi entropy, is considered and some properties of it, are investigated. We will see that the ADK entropy for continuous random variables is invariant under a location and is not invariant under a scale transformation of the random variable. Furthermore, the joint ADK entropy, conditional ADK entropy, and chain rule of this ent...
متن کاملMarkov Models
1 Stochastic processes A stochastic process is an indexed collection of random variables, {Xt}, t ∈ T . If the index set T is discrete, we will often write t ∈ {1, 2, . . .}, to represent discrete time steps. For a finite number of variables, we will assume t ∈ 1 : d as usual, where d is the length of the sequence. If the state space X is finite, we will write Xt ∈ {1, 2, . . . ,K}, where K is ...
متن کاملArrival probability in the stochastic networks with an established discrete time Markov chain
The probable lack of some arcs and nodes in the stochastic networks is considered in this paper, and its effect is shown as the arrival probability from a given source node to a given sink node. A discrete time Markov chain with an absorbing state is established in a directed acyclic network. Then, the probability of transition from the initial state to the absorbing state is computed. It is as...
متن کامل