Composition of Electricity Generation Portfolios, Pivotal Dynamics, and Market Prices

We use simulations to study how the diversification of electricity generation portfolios influences wholesale prices. We find that the relationship between technological diversification and market prices is mediated by the supply to demand ratio. In each demand case there is a threshold where pivotal dynamics change. Pivotal dynamics preand post-threshold are the cause of non-linearities in the influence of diversification on market prices. The findings are robust to changes in the main market assumptions.