Trying to be precise about vagueness.
نویسنده
چکیده
A previous investigation by Lambert et al., which used computer simulation to examine the influence of choice of prior distribution on inferences from Bayesian random effects meta-analysis, is critically examined from a number of viewpoints. The practical example used is shown to be problematic. The various prior distributions are shown to be unreasonable in terms of what they imply about the joint distribution of the overall treatment effect and the random effects variance. An alternative form of prior distribution is tentatively proposed. Finally, some practical recommendations are made that stress the value both of fixed effect analyses and of frequentist approaches as well as various diagnostic investigations.
منابع مشابه
Vagueness, tolerance and non-transitive entailment
Vagueness is standardly opposed to precision. Just as gradable adjectives like ‘tall’ and a quantity modifier like ‘a lot’ are prototypical vague expressions, mathematical adjectives like ‘rectangular’, and measure phrases like ‘1.80 meter’ are prototypically precise. But what does it mean for these latter expressions to be precise? On first thought it just means that they are precise, because ...
متن کاملHiding an inconvenient truth: Lies and vagueness
When truth conicts with e¢ ciency, can verbal communication destroy e¢ ciency? Or are lies or vagueness used to hide inconvenient truths? We consider a sequential 2-player public good game in which the leader has private information about the value of the public good. This value can be low, high, or intermediate, with the latter case giving rise to a prisoners dilemma. Without verbal communic...
متن کاملDo Word Meanings Exist?
My contribution to this discussion is to attempt to spread a little radical doubt. Since I have spent over 30 years of my life writing and editing monolingual dictionary definitions, it may seem rather odd that I should be asking, do word meanings exist? The question is genuine, though: prompted by some puzzling facts about the data that is now available in the form of machine-readable corpora....
متن کاملVagueness - a Rough Set View
Abs t rac t . Vagueness for a long time has been studied by philosophers, logicians and linguists. Recently researchers interested in AI contributed essentially to this area. In this paper we present a new approach to vagueness, called rough set theory. The starting of the theory theory is the assumption that fundamental mechanisms of human reasoning are based on the ability to classify object ...
متن کاملVagueness at every order: the prospects of denying B
A number of arguments purport to show that vague properties determine sharp boundaries at higher orders. That is, although we may countenance vagueness concerning the location of boundaries for vague predicates, every predicate can instead be associated with precise knowable cut-off points deriving from precision in their higher order boundaries. I argue that this conclusion is indeed paradoxic...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Statistics in medicine
دوره 26 7 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2007