Indifference and incompleteness distinguished by rational trade
نویسنده
چکیده
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t JEL classification: D01 D11 Keywords: Incomplete preferences Indifference Sequential rationality Revealed preference Incommensurability We use an agent's strict preferences to define indifference and incompleteness relations that identify the sequences of trades that are rational to undertake. If an agent makes sequences of trades of options labeled indifferent, the agent will never be led to an inferior outcome, but trades of options where no preference judgments obtain can lead to diminished welfare. For one-shot choices, in contrast, there can be no behavioral distinction between indifference and incompleteness. Applications include: an isomorphism for incomplete preferences that indicates when weak and strict preferences contain interchangeable information, a characterization of the (possibly incomplete) preference relations consistent with a one-shot choice function, and an equivalent definition of incompleteness that relies on the philosophical theory of incommensurability. It is often said that indifference and incompleteness are behaviorally indistinguishable. Both an agent who is indifferent between two options and an agent who cannot rank the options can rationally choose either one. And if indifference and incompleteness lead to the same choice behavior, the entire concept of incompleteness would seem to be superfluous. The trouble with these views is that they look at each of an agent's choices in isolation. When decisions are strung together, the terrain looks different. Indifference and incompleteness relations can then demarcate which sequences of trades are rational: the options that we will label 'indifferent' can always be traded in either direction without leading an agent to a dispreferred final outcome, while trades of the options we label 'unranked' can make an agent worse off. (We use 'unranked' as the adjective to describe incompleteness: x and y are unranked if x is not weakly preferred to y and y is not weakly preferred to x.) We call these indifference and incompleteness relations 'behavioral' because they are determined solely by properties of an agent's strict preferences , which can be inferred from choice behavior, and because they make testable predictions. Let the notation x ∼ * y mean not x y and not y x. It can be inappropriate to view ∼ * as an indifference relation; even when is transitive, the relations and ∼ * taken together need not form a transitive weak preference relation. Instead, we define the behavioral indifference relation ∼ B by …
منابع مشابه
Indifference valuation in incomplete binomial models∗
The indifference valuation problem in incomplete binomial models is analyzed. The model is general in that the stochastic factor which generates the marlet incompleteness may affect the transition propabilities and/or the values of the traded asset as well as the claim’s payoff. Two pricing algorithms are constructed which use, respectively, the minimal martingale and minimal entropy measures. ...
متن کاملModeling Qualitative Assessments under the Belief Function Framework
This paper investigates the problem of preference modeling under the belief function framework. In this work, we introduce a new model that is able to generate quantitative information from qualitative assessments. Therefore, we suggest to represent the decision maker preferences in different levels where the indifference, strict preference, weak preference and incompleteness relations are cons...
متن کاملInformation Revelation and Market Incompleteness
This paper introduces a theory of market incompleteness based on the information transmission role of prices and its adverse impact on the provision of insurance in financial markets. We analyse a simple security design model in which the number and payoff of securities are endogenous. Agents have rational expectations and differ in information, endowments, and attitudes toward risk. When marke...
متن کاملPricing early exercise contracts in incomplete markets
We present a utility-based methodology for the valuation of early exercise contracts in incomplete markets. Incompleteness stems from nontraded assets on which the contracts are written. This methodology takes into account the individual’s attitude towards risk and yields nonlinear pricing rules. The early exercise indifference prices solve a quasilinear variational inequality with an obstacle ...
متن کاملIndifference pricing of natural gas storage contracts
Natural gas markets are incomplete due to physical limitations and low liquidity, but most valuation approaches for natural gas storage contracts assume a complete market. We propose an alternative approach based on indifference pricing which does not require this assumption but entails the solution of a highdimensional stochastic-dynamic optimization problem under a risk measure. To solve this...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Games and Economic Behavior
دوره 67 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2009