On thinking probabilistically
نویسنده
چکیده
This is about a personal journey starting from my lifelong skepticism about statistical significance tests — perhaps the most mis-applied of all mathematical theories, especially as regards extreme events — toward a new clarity and power in the use of probability theory and a clear resolution of old dilemmas about subjectivity versus objectivity. There is little original thought here. Rather, the idea is to pull together some rudimentary threads, often seen as unrelated, from mathematics, biology, experimental psychology, and information theory.
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