Impacts of multivariate GARCH innovations on hypothesis testing for cointegrating vectors

نویسنده

  • Takamitsu Kurita
چکیده

This note investigates impacts of multivariate generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) errors on hypothesis testing for cointegrating vectors. The study reviews a cointegrated vector autoregressive model incorporating multivariate GARCH innovations and a regularity condition required for valid asymptotic inferences. Monte Carlo experiments are then conducted on a test statistic for a hypothesis on the cointegrating vectors. The experiments demonstrate that the regularity condition plays a crucial role in rendering the hypothesis testing operational. It is also shown that the Bartlett correction and wild bootstrapping are useful in improving the small-sample performance of the test statistic of interest. Keywords: Cointegrating vector, Multivariate GARCH, Monte Carlo experiment, Bartlett correction, Wild bootstrapping. JEL Classi…cation Codes: C32, C52, C63.

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تاریخ انتشار 2011