Evolving Trading Rule-Based Policies

Trading-rule representation is an important factor to consider when designing a quantitative trading system. This study implements a trading strategy as a rule-based policy. The result is an intuitive human-readable format which allows for seamless integration of domain knowledge. The components of a policy are specified and represented as a set of rewrite rules in a context-free grammar. These rewrite rules define how the components can be legally assembled. Thus, strategies derived from the grammar are well-formed, domain-specific, solutions. A grammar-based Evolutionary Algorithm, Grammatical Evolution (GE), is then employed to automatically evolve intra-day trading strategies for the U.S. Stock Market. The GE methodology managed to discover profitable rules with realistic transaction costs included. The paper concludes with a number of suggestions for future work.