Imaging, Diagnosis, Prognosis Challenges in the Enumeration and Phenotyping of CTC

Purpose: Presence of circulating tumor cells (CTC) in metastatic carcinoma is associated with poor survival. Phenotyping and genotyping of CTC may permit "real-time" treatment decisions, provided CTCs are available for examination. Here, we investigate what is needed to detect CTC in all patients. Experimental Design: CTCs enumerated in 7.5 mL of blood together with survival from 836 patients withmetastatic breast, colorectal, andprostate cancerwere used topredict theCTC concentration in the 42% of these patients in whom no CTCs were found and to establish the relation of concentration of CTCs with survival. Influence of different CTC definitions were investigated by automated cell recognition and a flow cytometric assay without an enrichment or permeabilization step. Results: A log-logistic regression of the log of CTC yielded a good fit to the CTC frequency distribution. Extrapolation of the blood volume to 5 L predicted that 99%of patients had at least one CTC before therapy initiation. Survival of patients with EpCAMþ, cytokeratinþ, CD45 nucleated CTCs is reduced by 6.6 months for each 10-foldCTC increase.Using flowcytometry, thepotential three-fold recovery improvement is not sufficient to detect CTC in all patients in 7.5 mL of blood. Conclusions: EpCAMþ, cytokeratinþ, CD45 nucleated CTCs are present in all patients withmetastatic breast, prostate, and colorectal cancer and their frequency is proportional to survival. To serve as a liquid biopsy for the majority of patients, a substantial improvement of CTC yield is needed, which can only be achieved by a dramatic increase in sample volume. Clin Cancer Res; 18(20); 5711–8. 2012 AACR.