China’s Food Demand, Supply and Trade in 2030: Simulations using the Chinagro II Model
نویسنده
چکیده
The report describes prospects and challenges for Chinese agriculture up until 2030 under different scenarios, using the Chinagro welfare model. A scenario is defined as a coherent set of assumptions about exogenous driving forces (farmland, population, non-agricultural growth, world prices etc.), derived from the literature and our own assessments. Under these assumptions, simulations with the Chinagro model analyze the price-based interaction between the supply behavior of farmers, the demand behavior of consumers and the determination of trade flows by merchants.
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