Optimal curing policy for epidemic spreading over a community network with heterogeneous population

نویسندگان

  • Stefania Ottaviano
  • Francesco De Pellegrini
  • Stefano Bonaccorsi
  • Piet Van Mieghem
چکیده

We investigate the influence of the contact network structure on the spread of epidemics over an heterogeneous population. In our model, the epidemic process spreads over a directed weighted graph. A continuous-time individualbased susceptible–infected–susceptible (SIS) is analyzed using a first-order mean-field approximation. First, we consider a network with general topology in order to investigate the epidemic threshold and the stability properties of the system. Then, we analyze the case of a community network relying on the graph-theoretical notion of equitable partition. We show that, in this case, the epidemic threshold can be computed using a lower-dimensional dynamical system. Moreover we prove that the positive steady-state of the original system, that appears above the threshold, can be computed using this lower-dimensional system. In the second part of the work, we leverage on our model to derive a cost-optimal curing policy, in order to prevent the disease from persisting indefinitely within the population. The solution of this optimization problem is obtained by formulating a convex minimization problem on a general but symmetric network structure. Finally, in the case of a two-level optimal curing problem an algorithm is designed with a polynomial time complexity in the network size.

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تاریخ انتشار 2016