Cynefin, statistics and decision analysis

David Snowden’s Cynefin framework, introduced to articulate discussions of sense-making, knowledge management and organisational learning, also has much to offer discussion of statistical inference and decision analysis. I explore its value, particularly in its ability to help recognise which analytic and modelling methodologies are most likely to offer appropriate support in a given context. The framework also offers a further perspective on the relationship between scenario thinking and decision analysis in supporting decision makers.