Phase Disorder Effects in a Cellular Automaton Model of Epidemic Propagation

A deterministic cellular automaton rule defined on the Moore neighbourhood is studied as a model of epidemic propagation. The directed nature of the interaction between cells allows one to introduce the dependence on a disorder parameter that determines the fraction of “in-phase” cells. Phase-disorder is shown to produce peculiar changes in the dynamical and statistical properties of the different evolution regimes obtained by varying the infection and the immunization periods. In particular, the finite-velocity spreading of perturbations, characterizing chaotic evolution, can be prevented by localization effects induced by phase-disorder, that may also yield spatial isotropy of the infection propagation as a statistical effect. Analogously, the structure of phase-synchronous ordered patterns is rapidly lost as soon as phase-disorder is increased, yielding a defect-mediated turbulent regime .