Corporate Credit Rating using Multiclass Classification Models with order Information
نویسنده
چکیده
Corporate credit rating prediction using statistical and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques has been one of the attractive research topics in the literature. In recent years, multiclass classification models such as artificial neural network (ANN) or multiclass support vector machine (MSVM) have become a very appealing machine learning approaches due to their good performance. However, most of them have only focused on classifying samples into nominal categories, thus the unique characteristic of the credit rating ordinality has been seldom considered in their approaches. This study proposes new types of ANN and MSVM classifiers, which are named OMANN and OMSVM respectively. OMANN and OMSVM are designed to extend binary ANN or SVM classifiers by applying ordinal pairwise partitioning (OPP) strategy. These models can handle ordinal multiple classes efficiently and effectively. To validate the usefulness of these two models, we applied them to the real-world bond rating case. We compared the results of our models to those of conventional approaches. The experimental results showed that our proposed models improve classification accuracy in comparison to typical multiclass classification techniques with the reduced computation resource. Keywords—Artificial neural network, Corporate credit rating, Support vector machines, Ordinal pairwise partitioning
منابع مشابه
Interpretable Multiclass Models for Corporate Credit Rating Capable of Expressing Doubt
Corporate credit rating is a process to classify commercial enterprises based on their creditworthiness. Machine learning algorithms can construct classification models, but in general they do not tend to be 100% accurate. Since they can be used as decision support for experts, interpretable models are desirable. Unfortunately, interpretable models are provided by only few machine learners. Fur...
متن کاملCustomer Level Classification Model Using Ordinal Multiclass Support Vector Machines*
Conventional Support Vector Machines (SVMs) have been utilized as classifiers for binary classification problems. However, certain real world problems, including corporate bond rating, cannot be addressed by binary classifiers because these are multi-class problems. For this reason, numerous studies have attempted to transform the original SVM into a multiclass classifier. These studies, howeve...
متن کاملMulticlass Support Vector Machines with Simultaneous Multi-Factors Optimization for Corporate Credit Ratings
Corporate credit rating prediction is one of the most important topics, which has been studied by researchers in the last decade. Over the last decade, researchers are pushing the limit to enhance the exactness of the corporate credit rating prediction model by applying several data-driven tools including statistical and artificial intelligence methods. Among them, multiclass support vector mac...
متن کاملA hybrid model for estimating the probability of default of corporate customers
Credit risk estimation is a key determinant for the success of financial institutions. The aim of this paper is presenting a new hybrid model for estimating the probability of default of corporate customers in a commercial bank. This hybrid model is developed as a combination of Logit model and Neural Network to benefit from the advantages of both linear and non-linear models. For model verific...
متن کاملCorporate Default and other Credit Events ; The Role of the Macroeconomy and Credit Rating History
In credit modeling, default intensity is known to depend on rating history-specific factors, notably credit rating, but variation in aggregate default rates over time presumably also reflects changes in general economic conditions. We fit Cox intensity models for defaults, as well as for major upgrades and downgrades in credit rating, with both rating history-specific factors and a broad range ...
متن کامل