Preference for Housing Services and House Price Bubble Occurrence Evidence from a Macro-Experiment
نویسندگان
چکیده
Large house price bubbles can be devastating for the real economy. Therefore, understanding the conditions under which large house price bubbles occur is fundamental. We shed new light on this issue in a laboratory setting. We find that endowing subjects with a lower preference for housing services creates larger experimental house price bubbles. This is in line with the theoretical model mechanism proposed by Huber (2016). The experimental result also speaks to the empirical cross-country regularity found in Huber (2016): countries that spend a lower share of total consumption on housing services, experienced significantly larger house price bubbles during 1970-2014. This paper also contributes to the literature on experimental asset markets more generally. The paper provides a new experimental framework within which a market for the dividend of a traded asset exists. In addition, this paper provides novel design features for bringing OLG models to the laboratory.
منابع مشابه
House Price Rigidity and the Asymmetric Response of Housing Prices to Monetary Policy in Iran
This paper examines downward price rigidity in Iranian house market and discusses whether this characteristic would result in an asymmetric relationship between house price and monetary policy. To test the downward house price rigidity the threshold GARCH model is employed. The asymmetric adjustment to monetary policy is examined using the asymmetric cointegration and error correction models. T...
متن کاملCapital Gains Tax and Housing Price Bubble: A Cross-Country Study
P olicy makers in housing sector seeks to use instruments by which they can control volatility of housing price and prevent high disturbances of the bubble and price shocks, or at least, reduce them. In the portfolio and speculation theories, it is emphasized that speculative demand for housing is the main cause of shocks and price volatilities in the sector. The theory of housing price bu...
متن کاملDo Housing Bubbles Generate Fiscal Bubbles? Evidence From California Cities∗
This paper examines the effects of the most recent U.S. housing bubble on the fiscal policy of California cities. We use an instrumental variables approach that helps isolate fiscal consequences of house price appreciation by taking advantage of the influence of local topological constraints on the elasticity of house prices with respect to interest rates. Our analysis generates three main find...
متن کاملHouse Price Indexes and the Global Financial Crisis
Why is this topic of house price indexes important? The Global Financial Crisis has several causes but a main cause was a housing bubble in the U.S. which led banks to make mortgage loans that were based on the assumption that house prices were not rising unusually quickly. If accurate regional house price indexes for the U.S. would have been widely available to the public, it is unlikely that ...
متن کاملAn Analysis of Shocks Affecting House Prices in Iran and Its Convergence with the Housing Market in Selected Countries
The housing sector is one of the most important economic sectors in terms of household expenditure and GDP and its role in changing macroeconomic index such as economic growth and employment. Given the importance of the housing sector in the economy and there is a lot of volatility in this sector, in this study, the factors affecting the price of housing has been Including stock indices, liquid...
متن کامل