Intersectoral Externalities and Indeterminacy

We consider a two-sector economy with positive intersectoral external effects and nonincreasing social returns. We show that if the discount factor r is close to 1 then local indeterminacy may be obtained with mild market imperfections. Moreover, with additional conditions, when r is made smaller the steady state becomes totally unstable and quasi-periodic cycles, along which equilibrium paths are indeterminate, may appear through a Hopf bifurcation. This will be proved even if the investment good is capital intensive at the private level while this condition guarantees local determinacy in the sector specific case. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: C62, E32, O41. © 2002 Elsevier Science (USA)