With or Without You Partnership context of first conceptions and births in Hungary

نویسنده

  • Júlia Mikolai
چکیده

Using notions from the Second Demographic Transition theory and the Pattern of Disadvantage argument, I study how women's risk of a first conception within different union types (single, cohabitation, marriage) is influenced by education in Hungary and whether this influence has changed over time. Additionally, I examine the transition to marriage among women who experienced a non-marital conception. Using the first wave of the Hungarian Generations and Gender Survey from 2004, I conduct discrete time survival analyses and logistic regression. I find a positive educational gradient for single and marital conceptions while this gradient is negative for cohabiting conceptions. Highly educated women are less likely to experience a conception when single or cohabiting than when married compared to their medium educated counterparts. Furthermore, the impact of education on the risk of a single and marital conception has changed over time. Following the transition in 1990, a positive gradient of education on the risk of a single conception emerged whereas for marital conceptions the effect of education is negative. No consistent patterns are found for cohabiting conceptions. Additionally, medium educated women and those who experienced a conception while being single are more likely to marry between the conception and birth than their lower educated counterparts and those who experienced a cohabiting conception. Furthermore, highly educated women who experience a single conception are 1.4 times as likely to marry before the birth of the first child as their counterparts with medium education. EDITORIAL NOTE Julia Mikolai is a PhD candidate at the University of Southampton supervised by Dr Brienna Perelli-Harris and Dr Ann Berrington. With a background in Sociology and Demography, Julia's research interests include the intersection between partnership status and parenthood in contemporary Europe, life course research, and multistate models.Amos for their comments and suggestions. The GGS data were obtained from the GGP Data Archive and refer to the publication that contains the model survey  Júlia Mikolai all rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including  notice, is given to the source.

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تاریخ انتشار 2013