Drivers of Durable Peace: The Role of Justice in Negotiating Civil War Termination

Attaining durable peace after a civil war has become a major challenge, as many negotiated settlements relapse into violence. How can civil war negotiations be conducted and peace agreements formulated so as to contribute to lasting, durable peace? Previous research has focused on the durability of peace agreements, measured as the absence of violence. This study develops an index to measure durable peace for a period of 8 years after the agreement had been reached, and evaluates the new measure using an existing data set. We ask whether impacts on durable peace are Support for this study was provided by a Swedish Research Council Grant [C0114201; Registration Number 421-2012-1142] for a research Project titled “From peace negotiations to durable peace: The multiple roles of justice.” Special thanks go to Sayra van den Berg for her diligent assistance with the coding and to the many colleagues who provided helpful advice on earlier drafts including those who heard our presentations at the International Studies Association (New Orleans, March 2015) and at the International Association for Conflict Management (Clearwater, Florida, June 2015). Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s10726-016-9511-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. B Lynn Wagner [email protected] Daniel Druckman [email protected] 1 International Institute for Sustainable Development, Winnipeg, Canada 2 George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA 3 Macquarie University, Sydney, Australia 4 University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia 5 Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden