Minimally Cross-Entropic Conditional Density: A Generalization of the GARCH Model

نویسندگان

  • Matthias Scherer
  • Svetlozar T. Rachev
  • Frank J. Fabozzi
چکیده

Svetlozar T. Rachev Chair-Professor, Chair of Statistics, Econometrics and Mathematical Finance, School of Economics and Business Engineering, University of Karlsruhe and KIT, and Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, University of California, Santa Barbara, and Chief-Scientist, FinAnalytica INC Kollegium am Schloss, Bau II, 20.12, R210, Postfach 6980, D-76128, Karlsruhe, Germany Tel.: +49(0721)608 7535 Fax.: +49(0721)608 3811 E-mail: [email protected]

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Modeling Gold Volatility: Realized GARCH Approach

F orecasting the volatility of a financial asset has wide implications in finance. Conditional variance extracted from the GARCH framework could be a suitable proxy of financial asset volatility. Option pricing, portfolio optimization, and risk management are examples of implications of conditional variance forecasting. One of the most recent methods of volatility forecasting is Real...

متن کامل

Dynamic Cross Hedging Effectiveness between Gold and Stock Market Based on Downside Risk Measures: Evidence from Iran Emerging Capital Market

This paper examines the hedging effectiveness of gold futures for the stock market in minimizing variance and downside risks, including value at risk and expected shortfall using data from the Iran emerging capital market during four different sub-periods from December 2008 to August 2018. We employ dynamic conditional correlation models including VARMA-BGARCH (DCC, ADCC, BEKK, and ABEKK) and c...

متن کامل

Investigating the Correlation of Selected Banks with Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) Model and Identifying Systemically Important Banks with Conditional Value at Risk and Shapley Value Method

Systemic risk arises from simultaneous movement or correlations between market segments; Thus, systemic risk occurs when there is a high correlation between the risks and crises of different market segments or institutions operating in the economy, or when the risks of different segments in a market segment or a country are related to other segments and other countries. This paper presents a me...

متن کامل

Presenting a model for Multiple-step-ahead-Forecasting of volatility and Conditional Value at Risk in fossil energy markets

Fossil energy markets have always been known as strategic and important markets. They have a significant impact on the macro economy and financial markets of the world. The nature of these markets are accompanied by sudden shocks and volatility in the prices. Therefore, they must be controlled and forecasted by using appropriate tools. This paper adopts the Generalized Auto Regressive Condition...

متن کامل

Efficient Factor GARCH Models and Factor-DCC Models

We reveal that in the estimation of univariate GARCH or multivariate generalized orthogonal GARCH (GO-GARCH) models, maximizing the likelihood is equivalent to making the standardized residuals as independent as possible. Based on that, we propose three factor GARCH models in the framework of GO-GARCH: independent-factor GARCH exploits factors that are statistically as independent as possible; ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2010