Persistence and Cyclical Dependence in the Monthly Euribor Rate
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper analyses two well-known features of interest rates, namely their time dependence and their cyclical structure. Specifically, it focuses on the monthly Euribor rate, using monthly data from January 1994 to May 2011. Models based on fractional integration at the long run or zero frequency, although adequately describing the persistent behaviour of the series, do not take into account its cyclical structure. Therefore, a more general cyclical fractional model is considered. Future directions for research in this context are also discussed. JEL-Code: C220, E300.
منابع مشابه
Centre for Emea Banking, Finance & Economics Persistence and Cyclical Dependence in the Monthly Euribor Rate
This paper analyses two well-known features of interest rates, namely their time dependence and their cyclical structure. Specifically, it focuses on the monthly Euribor rate, using monthly data from January 1994 to May 2011. Models based on fractional integration at the long run or zero frequency, although adequately describing the persistent behaviour of the series, do not take into account i...
متن کاملPersistence and Cycles in the US Federal Funds Rate
This paper uses long-range dependence techniques to analyse two important features of the US Federal Funds effective rate, namely its persistence and cyclical behaviour. It examines annual, monthly, bi-weekly and weekly data, from 1954 until 2010. Two models are considered. One is based on an I(d) specification with AR(2) disturbances and the other on two fractional differencing structures, one...
متن کاملAsymmetric Behavior of Inflation in Iran: New Evidence on Inflation Persistence Using a Smooth Transition Model
T his paper investigates the asymmetric behavior of inflation. We use logistic smooth transition autoregressive (LSTAR) model to characterize the regime-switching behavior of Iran’s monthly inflation during the period May 1990 to December 2013. We find that there is a triple relationship between the inflation level, its fluctuations and persistence. The findings imply that the behavi...
متن کاملMisalignment on the Persistence of Inflation in Iran
The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of exchange rate misalignment on inflation persistence. For this purpose, Vector Auto Regression method and Markov Switching model is used for quarterly data during 1989:4 -2014:3. The results show that, the impact of liquidity growth and exchange rate misalignment on inflation persistence is positive. On the other hand, GDP growth has a ne...
متن کاملThe Performance of the Euribor Futures Market: Efficiency and the Impact of ECB Policy Announcements
The hypothesis that futures rates are unbiased and efficient predictors of future spot interest rates has been one of the most controversial topics in the empirical literature on market efficiency. The first part of this article concentrates on the question of whether the hypothesis that rates are unbiased holds for the 3-month Euribor futures market. The empirical analysis differs from usually...
متن کامل