High - end climate change scenarios for flood protection of the Netherlands
نویسندگان
چکیده
Introduction Sea level rise, especially combined with possible changes in storm surges and increased river discharge resulting from climate change, poses a major threat for a low-lying delta like the Netherlands. Future flood protection strategies need to take these possible changes into account. Therefore, high-impact, low-probability climate change scenarios for the Netherlands were developed1) at the request of the second Delta Committee2). In this study, local sea level rise, changes in storm surge height and peak discharges of the river Rhine were considered. Such detailed information goes beyond the KNMI’06 climate change scenarios3) that span the range of most probable outcomes. The newly-developed high-end scenarios are discussed one-by-one below. The complex flood risk implied by the combination of these scenarios is illustrated by considering the situation near Rotterdam in the final section.
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Exploring high-end scenarios for local sea level rise to develop flood protection strategies for a low-lying delta—the Netherlands as an example
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