Factor price uncertainty, technology choice and investment delay

نویسنده

  • Joseph P. Kaboski
چکیده

This paper develops a theory of putty-clay investment under factor price uncertainty using a Brownian motion framework. Ex ante the 4rm faces a choice of technologies that di5er by their relative factor intensities, but ex post technologies are Leontief. The presence of competing technologies and factor price uncertainty can cause delay of pro4table investments for a monopolist 4rm facing a one-time investment decision. Furthermore, uncertainty can cause an existing 4rm to wait for more extreme operating cost di5erentials before switching technologies. These delays in investment are present even without considering the e5ect of uncertainty on the 4rm’s choice of scale. c © 2004 Published by Elsevier B.V. JEL classi#cation: L1; D8

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Technology Adoption under Relative Factor Price Uncertainty: The Putty-Clay Investment Model

A plant has more flexibility in choosing among different technologies before undertaking an investment than after installing a specific machine. This paper argues that the irreversibility of factor intensity choice may play an important role in explaining the dynamics of investment in the presence of relative factor price uncertainty. A higher degree of irreversibility in the choice of factor i...

متن کامل

Technology choice under several uncertainty sources

We analyze a model of irreversible investment with two sources of uncertainty. A riskneutral decision maker has the choice between two mutually exclusive projects under input price and output price uncertainty. We propose a complete study of the shape of the rational investment region and we prove that it is never optimal to invest when the alternative investments generate the same payoff indep...

متن کامل

Input price risk and optimal timing of energy investment : choice between fossil - and biofuels ∗

We consider energy investment, when a choice has to be made between fossil fuel and biomass fired production technologies. A dynamic model is presented to illustrate the effect of the different degrees of input price uncertainty on the choice of technology and the timing of the investment. It is shown that when the choice of technology is irreversible, it may be optimal to postpone the investme...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2005