Assessing The Skill And Value Of Seasonal Climate Predictions
نویسنده
چکیده
The main driver for the large research effort devoted to developing and improving seasonal climate prediction models is the fact that El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events (quasiperiodic fluctuations in Indo-Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures and mean sea level pressure) represent, on a global scale, the greatest source of interannual climate variability and are, to some extent, predictable. Australia is considerably impacted by these fluctuations and although is served by several operational prediction schemes, the associated degree of skill is, at best, only moderate.
منابع مشابه
Science of Seasonal Climate Prediction
s Statistical seasonal climate forecasting in Australia: An historical overview Dr Roger Stone......................................................................................................................................................................................18 The scientific basis of seasonal climate prediction Dr Scott Power.......................................................
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