Monetary Union, Entry Conditions and Economic Reform

نویسندگان

  • F. Gulcin Ozkan
  • Anne Sibert
  • Alan Sutherland
چکیده

This paper models the behaviour of a potential entrant into a monetary union where there is an inflation entry condition. In addition to making a monetary policy decision during a qualifying period, the potential entrant must make a decision about structural reform. The paper shows that the entry condition can have two undesirable effects. First, it can lead to multiple equilibria because inflationary expectations acquire a selffulfilling property. Second, the entry condition can lead to a reduction in the amount of reform. This is because the entry condition reduces inflationary expectations and thus reduces the incentive to reform.

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تاریخ انتشار 1998