Insulin-like growth factor I, IGF-binding protein 3, and lung cancer risk in a prospective study of men in China.

BACKGROUND Insulin-like growth factor I (IGF-I) stimulates cell proliferation and inhibits apoptosis in the lung and other tissues by interacting with the IGF-I receptor. The major binding protein for IGF-I, insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 3 (IGFBP-3), modulates the effects of IGF-I but also inhibits cell growth and induces apoptosis independent of IGF-I and its receptor. In a prospective study of men in Shanghai, China, we examined the association between serum levels of IGF-I and IGFBP-3 and the subsequent risk of lung cancer. METHODS From 1986 to 1989, serum was collected from 18,244 men aged 45-64 years living in Shanghai without a history of cancer. We analyzed IGF-I and IGFBP-3 levels in serum from 230 case patients who developed incident lung cancer during follow-up and from 740 control subjects. RESULTS Among 230 case patients and 659 matched control subjects, increased IGF-I levels were not associated with increased risk of lung cancer. However, for subjects in the highest quartile relative to the lowest quartile of IGFBP-3, the odds ratio (OR) for lung cancer, adjusted for smoking and IGF-I, was 0.50 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.25 to 1.02). When the analysis was restricted to ever smokers (184 case patients and 344 matched control subjects), the OR for lung cancer in men in the highest quartile of IGFBP-3 relative to those in the lowest quartile, adjusted for smoking and IGF-I, was 0.41 (95% CI = 0.18 to 0.92). CONCLUSIONS In this prospective study of Chinese men, higher serum levels of IGF-I did not increase the risk of lung cancer. However, subjects with higher serum levels of IGFBP-3 were at reduced risk of lung cancer. This finding is consistent with experimental data that indicate that IGFBP-3 can inhibit cellular proliferation and induce apoptosis independent of IGF-I and the IGF-I receptor.