1. Methodological Considerations on Chance Discovery

نویسندگان

  • Helmut Prendinger
  • Mitsuru Ishizuka
چکیده

This paper investigates the methodological foundations of a new research field called chance discovery, which aims to detect future opportunities and risks. By drawing on concepts from cybernetics and system theory, it is argued that chance discovery best applies to open systems that are equipped with regulatory and anticipatory mechanisms. Non-determinism, freedom (entropy) and open systems property are motivated as basic assumptions underlying chance discovery. The prediction-explanation asymmetry and evaluation of chance discovery models are discussed a fundamental problems of this field.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Some Methodological Considerations on Chance Discovery

This paper investigates the methodological foundations of a new research field called chance discovery, which aims to detect future opportunities and risks. By drawing on concepts from cybernetics and system theory, it is argued that chance discovery best applies to open systems that are equipped with regulatory mechanisms to approximate an ‘ideal’ state. We will motivate anticipation as an add...

متن کامل

Methodological Considerations on Chance Discovery

This paper investigates the methodological foundations of a new research field called chance discovery which aims to detect future opportunities and risks. By drawing on concepts from cybernetics and system theory, it is argued that chance discovery best applies to open systems that are equipped with regulatory mechanisms to approximate an ‘ideal’ state. We will motivate anticipation as an addi...

متن کامل

Add-on for High Throughput Screening in Material Discovery for Organic Electronics: “Tagging” Molecules to Address the Device Considerations

This work reflects the worth of intelligent modeling in controlling the nanostructure morphology in manufacturing organic bulk heterojunction (BHJ) solar cells. It suggests the idea of screening the pool of material design possibilities inspired by machine learning. To fulfill this goal, a set of experimental data on a BHJ solar cell with a donor structure of diketopyrrolopyrrole (DDP) and ...

متن کامل

A Comparative Study of Approaches to Chance Discovery

This paper gives an initial evaluation of approaches to chance discovery and management, a new research field invented by Yukio Ohsawa. Our aims in this preliminary report are very modest. First, we briefly describe research work done with the intent to detect chances (i.e., opportunities and risks) in various application areas such as the web, natural disasters, or histories of bankruptcy. Sec...

متن کامل

Chance Discovery in a BDI Perspective of Planning: Anticipation, Participation and Correlation

Chance is a new event/situation with significant impact on an agent’s decision making, that is, either an opportunity or a risk. In this paper, suggesting the modern scope of dynamic planning as a typical stage on which Chance Discovery and Management (CD&M) play a special role, we abstract ‘chance’ into three essentials, which provide not only its conceptual criteria but also methodological cl...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2000