Role of land-surface changes in arctic summer warming.

نویسندگان

  • F S Chapin
  • M Sturm
  • M C Serreze
  • J P McFadden
  • J R Key
  • A H Lloyd
  • A D McGuire
  • T S Rupp
  • A H Lynch
  • J P Schimel
  • J Beringer
  • W L Chapman
  • H E Epstein
  • E S Euskirchen
  • L D Hinzman
  • G Jia
  • C-L Ping
  • K D Tape
  • C D C Thompson
  • D A Walker
  • J M Welker
چکیده

A major challenge in predicting Earth's future climate state is to understand feedbacks that alter greenhouse-gas forcing. Here we synthesize field data from arctic Alaska, showing that terrestrial changes in summer albedo contribute substantially to recent high-latitude warming trends. Pronounced terrestrial summer warming in arctic Alaska correlates with a lengthening of the snow-free season that has increased atmospheric heating locally by about 3 watts per square meter per decade (similar in magnitude to the regional heating expected over multiple decades from a doubling of atmospheric CO2). The continuation of current trends in shrub and tree expansion could further amplify this atmospheric heating by two to seven times.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Science

دوره 310 5748  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2005