Planning for success: The interdisciplinary approach to building Bayesian models
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper describes a process by which anthropologists, computer scientists, and social welfare case managers collaborated to build a stochastic model of welfare advising in Kentucky. In the process of collaboration, the research team rethought the Bayesian network model of Markov decision processes and designed a new knowledge elicitation format. We expect that this model will have wide applicability in other domains.
منابع مشابه
Comparison of Linear and Threshold Models for Estimation Genetic and Phenotypic Parameters of Success of Conception at First Service and Inseminations to Conception in Holstein Cattles in East Azarbayjan Province
In this research genetic and phenotypic parameters were estimated using linear and threshold models, for reproductive traits, data from 6 large industrial dairy herd of East Azerbaijan province collected by Agriculture Jihad Organization during 10 years (2001-2010). Best linear unbiased predictions of traits breeding values were estimated using Restricted Maximum Likelihood method by WOMBAT sof...
متن کاملComparison of Linear and Threshold Models for Estimation Genetic and Phenotypic Parameters of Success of Conception at First Service and Inseminations to Conception in Holstein Cattles in East Azarbayjan Province
In this research genetic and phenotypic parameters were estimated using linear and threshold models, for reproductive traits, data from 6 large industrial dairy herd of East Azerbaijan province collected by Agriculture Jihad Organization during 10 years (2001-2010). Best linear unbiased predictions of traits breeding values were estimated using Restricted Maximum Likelihood method by WOMBAT sof...
متن کاملGenetic Properties of Some Economic Traits in Isfahan Native Fowl Using Bayesian and REML Methods
The objective of the present study was to estimate heritability values for some performance and egg quality traits of native fowl in Isfahan breeding center using REML and Bayesian approaches. The records were about 51521 and 975 for performance and egg quality traits, respectively. At the first step, variance components were estimated for body weight at hatch (BW0), body weight at 8 weeks of a...
متن کاملPlanning for success: The social approach to building Bayesian models
We introduce a new variant of Markov decision processes called MDPs with action results, and a variant of dynamic Bayesian networks called bowties, for modeling the effects of stochastic actions. Bowties grew out of our work on decision-support systems for advisors in the US social welfare system. Bowties, and our elicitation process for them, are designed to elicit dynamic Bayesian network fra...
متن کاملBayesian Optimum Design Criterion for Multi Models Discrimination
The problem of obtaining the optimum design, which is able to discriminate between several rival models has been considered in this paper. We give an optimality-criterion, using a Bayesian approach. This is an extension of the Bayesian KL-optimality to more than two models. A modification is made to deal with nested models. The proposed Bayesian optimality criterion is a weighted average, where...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Int. J. Approx. Reasoning
دوره 50 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2009