Modeling Uncertainties in Igcc System Performance and Cost
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper discusses the development of performance and cost models for integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) systems. Because few IGCC concepts have been demonstrated at a large scale, there is considerable uncertainty regarding the commercial scale performance and cost of these systems. The key feature of this work is the use of a probabilistic approach to performance and cost modeling, in contrast to conventional deterministic (point-estimate) methods. The development of selected IGCC engineering and cost models and the use of the probabilistic approach is illustrated for a specific process area.
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