Modeling Uncertainties in Igcc System Performance and Cost

نویسندگان

  • H. C. FREY
  • E. S. RUBIN
  • U. M. DIWEKAR
چکیده

This paper discusses the development of performance and cost models for integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) systems. Because few IGCC concepts have been demonstrated at a large scale, there is considerable uncertainty regarding the commercial scale performance and cost of these systems. The key feature of this work is the use of a probabilistic approach to performance and cost modeling, in contrast to conventional deterministic (point-estimate) methods. The development of selected IGCC engineering and cost models and the use of the probabilistic approach is illustrated for a specific process area.

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تاریخ انتشار 2005