The cyclical behavior of prices*

نویسندگان

  • Thomas F. Cooley
  • Lee E. Ohanian
چکیده

The procyclical behavior of prices has been a staple of business cycle lore since the work of the early NBER business cycle researchers. This paper reexamines that empirical fact. The aggregate data do not support procyclical price movements as a stable feature of the business cycle. The only episode where it is a robust feature of the data is the period between the two world wars, particularly the period of the Great Depression.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

پیش‌بینی دوره‌های رونق و رکود قیمت مسکن با استفاده از تجزیه موجک و شبکه‌های عصبی مصنوعی

Generally,some booms in housing prices are followed by busts. One common phenomenon relating these changes is that the house price cycle is generally believed to the product of the short-run deviations from the long-run upward trends. The long-term cyclical fluctuation in Iran’s housing market was periodically occurred about every 6 years. Furthermore, Movements in house prices have significant...

متن کامل

Identification of Cyclical Banks in Iranian Banking System (Focus on Leverage Ratio)

T he cyclical banks have different behavior than other banks. The structure of the balance sheet in cyclical banks is different from anti-cyclical banks. The cyclical banks have a relationship between leverage growth and asset growth while the other banks have no relationship between asset growth and leverage growth in the banking system. This relationship depends on the structure of...

متن کامل

Are Prices Countercyclical? Evidence From East Asian Countries

The cyclicality of prices has been in debate recently. One of the key stylized facts that has served as a cornerstone for traditional business cycle models is the procyclical behavior of prices. Recent research has questioned the empirical basis for this stylized fact. Using quarterly U.S. data, Kydland and Prescott (1990) report that cyclical components of U.S. prices and output are correlated...

متن کامل

Optimal Cyclical Behavior of Monetary Policy of Iran: Using a DSGE Model

The countercyclical monetary policy is a policy that economists recommend to adopt in order to slow down the economic fluctuations. The aim of this study is to address the question that, in the presence of fiscal dominance and considering institutional quality (IQL), what the optimal monetary policy should be during the business cycles? To find the appropriate answer, first, in the framework of...

متن کامل

بررسی تقارن ادوار تجاری با رویکرد آنالیز موجک

Symmetry or asymmetry of the business cycle is an important issue in order to select the behavior patterns and prediction of macroeconomic fluctuations. Factors such as oil prices, the financial crisis, uncertainty, the delay on learning, etc., Can cause lack of symmetry in the cycle. Decomposition of the business cycle by wavelet transform, which is strong instrument for processing data, and r...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2001