Demand Prediction of Bicycle Sharing Systems

نویسندگان

  • Yu-Chun Yin
  • Chi-Shuen Lee
چکیده

Bike sharing system requires prediction of bike usage based on usage history to re-distribute bikes between stations. In this study, original data was collected around Washington D.C. area in 2011 and 2012. Original data is processed by several feature engineering approaches based on analysis and understanding of the data. Ridge linear regression, support vector regression (εSVR), random forest, and gradient boosted tree are applied to predict usage of bike sharing system in an hour based on the conditions of the hour. Test root-mean-squared logarithm error (RMSLE) is achieved at 0.82, 0.34, 0.31, and 0.31 respectively after model parameters optimization and feature selection. Keywords—Bike-Share System, Support Vector Regression, Radom Forest, Machine Learning.

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تاریخ انتشار 2014