When Cutting Dividends is Not Bad News: The Case of Optional Stock Dividends

Uncertain stock model with periodic dividends

References [1] F. Black and P. Karasinski, Bond and option pricing when short-term rates are lognormal, Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 47, No. 4, 52-59, 1991. [2] F. Black and M. Scholes, The pricing of options and corporate liabilities, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 81, 637-654, 1973. [3] J. C. Cox, J. E. Ingersoll, and S.A. Ross, An intertemporal general equilibrium model of asset pric...

Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends

Long historical averages of real earnings help forecast present values of future real dividends. With aggregate U.S. stock market data (1871-1986), a vector-autoregressive forecast of the present value of future dividends is, for each year, roughly a weighted average of moving-average arnings and current real price, with between two thirds and three fourths of the weight on the earnings measure...

Allocation of Stock Dividends Between the Life Beneficiary and Remainderman

Allocation of Stock Dividends Between the Life Beneficiary and Remainderman

Threshold cointegration and nonlinear adjustment between stock prices and dividends

According to several empirical studies, the linear present-value model fails to explain the behaviour of stock prices in the long run. We analyse the possible presence of threshold cointegration between real stock prices and dividends for the US market during the period from 1871:1 to 2004:6. According to our results, the null hypothesis of linear cointegration between stock prices and dividend...