Volatility Spillover and International Contagion of Housing Bubbles
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper provides new empirical evidence on housing bubble timing, volatility spillover, and contagion between Japan its economic partners, namely, the United States, Eurozone, Kingdom. First, we apply a generalized sup ADF (GSADF) test to quarterly price-to-rent ratio from 1970Q1 2018Q4 detect explosive behaviors in prices. Second, analyze spillover prices partners using multivariate time-varying DCC-GARCH model. Third, assess by estimating non-parametric model of migration with coefficients. We document two historical episodes 1970 2018 Japan’s market. Moreover, find effects real estate market most important during several periods. In this context integration, countries need develop coordinated policies address risk global bubbles.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of risk and financial management
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1911-8074', '1911-8066']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14070287