منابع مشابه
Statistical downscaling of precipitation
Papers published in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions are under open-access review for the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Abstract Global Circulation Models (GCMs) are a major tool used for future projections of climate change using different emission scenarios. However, for assessing the hydrological impacts of climate change at the watershed and the regional scale, ...
متن کاملStatistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions
Accurate decadal climate predictions could be used to inform adaptation actions to a changing climate. The skill of such predictions from initialised dynamical global climate models (GCMs) may be assessed by comparing with predictions from statistical models which are based solely on historical observations. This paper presents two benchmark statistical models for predicting both the radiativel...
متن کاملAbstract: Future of Decadal Predictions
Decadal climate variability (DCV) has impacted society for centuries, perhaps millennia. There are well-documented episodes of droughts, floods, and tropical storms lasting one or more decades in many parts of the world. It was believed for many centuries that solar and lunar cycles at decadal timescales (~10-20 years) influence the Earth’s climate. This belief led to the development of concept...
متن کاملCrowdsourcing to Assess Surgical Skill.
What Is the Innovation? Surgical skills impactpatientoutcomes.1Ourprofessionneedsmethods that accurately and objectively evaluate surgical skills.2 These methodsmustprovidetimelyandmeaningful feedback,minimizereviewtimeburden,andscaleforwidespreaduse.Thisevaluationhurdle may be overcome by leveraging crowdsourcing to help triage outliers and focus improvement efforts. Crowdsourcing is the proce...
متن کاملA synoptic-climatology approach to increase the skill of numerical weather predictions over Iran
Simplifications used in regional climate models decrease the accuracy of the regional climate models. To overcome this deficiency, usually a statistical technique of MOS is used to improve the skill of gridded outputs of the Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models. In this paper, an experimental synoptic-climatology based method has been used to calibrate, and decrease amount of errors in GFS...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
سال: 2019
ISSN: 1600-0870
DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2019.1652882