Understanding Price Formation in Electricity Markets

Understanding Price Volatility in Electricity Markets

This paper illustrates notions of volatility associated with power systems spot prices for electricity. The paper demonstrates a frequency-domain method useful to separate out periodic price variations from random variations. It then uses actual observed price data to estimate parameters such as volatility and the coefficient of mean reversion associated with the random variation of prices. It ...

Single Clearing PriCe in eleCtriCity MarketS

Price discovery in restructured electricity markets

We empirically investigate the degree of integration that existed prior to the cost increases that caused emergency conditions in the Western Systems Coordinating Council (WSCC), particularly California, during the summer of 2000. Evidence from Granger causality tests and common features analysis over the period from December 1994 to September 1999 indicates a moderate degree of integration amo...

Stochastic Price Modeling of Electricity in Deregulated Energy Markets

In this paper the problem of modeling electricity price dynamics in deregulated energy markets is studied. Since the nature of customers' energy consumption, market participants' strategic behavior and the power system reliability indices are stochastic processes, the electricity price model will be stochastic as well. In our analysis the price of electricity is modeled based on the customers' ...

Electricity price forecasting in deregulated markets: A review and evaluation

The main methodologies used in electricity price forecasting have been reviewed in this paper. The following price-forecasting techniques have been covered: (i) stochastic time series, (ii) causal models, and (iii) artificial intelligence based models. The quantitative analysis of the work done by various authors has been presented based on (a) time horizon for prediction, (b) input variables, ...