Unconventional energy resources: a system dynamics evaluation of social, environment and economic aspects

نویسندگان

چکیده

This study substantiates the usefulness of a systemic approach to investigate multi-dimensional challenges regarding environmental, economic, and social impacts facing sustainable development unconventional energy resources, particularly oil sands (OS) in Canada. research uses system dynamics (SD) methodology examine impact shocks demand using real theoretical scenarios. was done by identifying leading indicators critical OS resource capture effects. The identifies contribution resources Canada global has developed model structure that captures parameters associated with economic-dynamics, socio-dynamics, enviro-dynamics for next 30 years. It also includes sudden supply presents various recovery results from these scenarios indicate it may take up 25 years industry return its pre-shock trajectory, even assuming rapid recovery. As such, proposes an adaptive assist policies decision-making. Accordingly, can be helpful academicians, policymakers, practitioners objective decision-making development. Meanwhile, provides cogent valuable information natural governance.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: international journal of energy and environmental engineering

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2251-6832', '2008-9163']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40095-021-00448-3