Uncertainty of Agricultural product Prices by Information Entropy Model using Probability Distribution for Monthly Prices

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Modeling and prediction of time-series of monthly copper prices

One of the main tasks to analyze and design a mining system is predicting the behavior exhibited by prices in the future. In this paper, the applications of different prediction methods are evaluated in econometrics and financial management fields, such as ARIMA, TGARCH, and stochastic differential equations, for the time-series of monthly copper prices. Moreover, the performance of these metho...

متن کامل

analysis of ruin probability for insurance companies using markov chain

در این پایان نامه نشان داده ایم که چگونه می توان مدل ریسک بیمه ای اسپیرر اندرسون را به کمک زنجیره های مارکوف تعریف کرد. سپس به کمک روش های آنالیز ماتریسی احتمال برشکستگی ، میزان مازاد در هنگام برشکستگی و میزان کسری بودجه در زمان وقوع برشکستگی را محاسبه کرده ایم. هدف ما در این پایان نامه بسیار محاسباتی و کاربردی تر از روش های است که در گذشته برای محاسبه این احتمال ارائه شده است. در ابتدا ما نشا...

15 صفحه اول

Marxian reproduction prices versus prices of production: probability and convergence

I shall argue two main points. The first is that although Marx is conventionally taken to have formulated two different theories of price in the the three volumes of Capital, labour values in volume I and prices of production in volume III, there is actually a third theory, hidden inside the reproduction schemes of volume II. This theory is not explicit, but can be logically deduced from the co...

متن کامل

Determination of Maximum Bayesian Entropy Probability Distribution

In this paper, we consider the determination methods of maximum entropy multivariate distributions with given prior under the constraints, that the marginal distributions or the marginals and covariance matrix are prescribed. Next, some numerical solutions are considered for the cases of unavailable closed form of solutions. Finally, these methods are illustrated via some numerical examples.

متن کامل

Factors affecting agricultural land prices

n the twenty years that preceded 1920 I there was a 245 percent increase in the average per-acre price of farmland (including improvements) before land values fell sharply. Today’s escalation in land values-364 percent between 1957 and 1977-prompts some pointed questions: Have land prices reached their peak? If not, when will they plateau, if ever? Will they then decline and, if so, will the de...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers

سال: 2012

ISSN: 1738-3692

DOI: 10.5389/ksae.2012.54.2.007