Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response
To aid climate policy decisions, accurate quantitative descriptions of the uncertainty in climate outcomes under various possible policies are needed. Here, we apply an earth systems model to describe the uncertainty in climate projections under two different policy scenarios. This study illustrates an internally consistent uncertainty analysis of one climate assessment modeling framework, prop...
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CHANGE The MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change is an organization for research, independent policy analysis, and public education in global environmental change. It seeks to provide leadership in understanding scientific, economic, and ecological aspects of this difficult issue, and combining them into policy assessments that serve the needs of ongoing national and inte...
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Uncertainty is a pervasive feature of climate change analysis. This paper explores the consequences for policymakers. Importantly, uncertainty means that every policy has a range of possible outcomes rather than a single estimate. At a minimum, this requires policymakers to decide how to compare these different outcomes and to determine the likelihood that each outcome occurs. While objective a...
متن کاملUncertainty and Climate Change Policy
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Climatic Change
سال: 2003
ISSN: 0165-0009
DOI: 10.1023/b:clim.0000004564.09961.9f