Tsunami preparedness and resilience in the Cascadia Subduction Zone: A multistage model of expected evacuation decisions and mode choice
نویسندگان
چکیده
Physical scientists have estimated that the Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) has as much a 25% chance to produce M9.0 earthquake and tsunami in next 50 years, but few studies used survey data assess household risk perceptions, emergency preparedness, evacuation intentions. To understand these phenomena, this study conducted mail-based questionnaire using Protective Action Decision Model (PADM) guide collect 483 responses from two coastal communities CSZ: Crescent City, CA Coos Bay, OR. We applied multistage regression models effects of critical PADM variables. The results showed three psychological variables (risk perception, perceived hazard knowledge, mode efficacy) were associated with some demographic experience Evacuation intention choice are those not Contrary previous studies, location had no direct impact on or choice. also analyzed expected compliance potential micro-mobility during response. This provides empirical evidence preparedness intentions support interdisciplinary modeling, education, community disaster resilience plans.
منابع مشابه
Probabilistic Seismic and Tsunami Hazard Analysis Conditioned on a Megathrust Rupture of the Cascadia Subduction Zone
This paper presents a methodology for probabilistic hazard assessment for the multihazard seismic and tsunami phenomena [probabilistic seismic and tsunami hazard analysis (PSTHA)]. For this work, a full-rupture event along the Cascadia subduction zone is considered and the methodology is applied to a study area of Seaside, Oregon, which is located on the US Pacific Northwest coast. In this work...
متن کاملEarthquake hazards on the cascadia subduction zone.
Large subduction earthquakes on the Cascadia subduction zone pose a potential seismic hazard. Very young oceanic lithosphere (10 million years old) is being subducted beneath North America at a rate of approximately 4 centimeters per year. The Cascadia subduction zone shares many characteristics with subduction zones in southern Chile, southwestern Japan, and Colombia, where comparably young oc...
متن کاملthe innovation of a statistical model to estimate dependable rainfall (dr) and develop it for determination and classification of drought and wet years of iran
آب حاصل از بارش منبع تأمین نیازهای بی شمار جانداران به ویژه انسان است و هرگونه کاهش در کم و کیف آن مستقیماً حیات موجودات زنده را تحت تأثیر منفی قرار می دهد. نوسان سال به سال بارش از ویژگی های اساسی و بسیار مهم بارش های سالانه ایران محسوب می شود که آثار زیان بار آن در تمام عرصه های اقتصادی، اجتماعی و حتی سیاسی- امنیتی به نحوی منعکس می شود. چون میزان آب ناشی از بارش یکی از مولفه های اصلی برنامه ...
15 صفحه اولRotation and plate locking at the southern Cascadia subduction zone
Global Positioning System vectors and surface tilt rates are inverted simultaneously for the rotation of western Oregon and plate locking on the southern Cascadia subduction thrust fault. Plate locking appears to be largely offshore, consistent with earlier studies, and is sufficient to allow occasional great earthquakes inferred from geology. Clockwise rotation of most of Oregon about a nearby...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International journal of disaster risk reduction
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2212-4209']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102244