Trend Growth Durations & Shifts

Investigating the Trend of Low Discharge Changes with Different Durations in Northwestern Iran

Climate change along with human interventions has changed natural hydrological cycle and consequently the need for more water resources, timely supply of water needs has faced serious challenges. Estimation of basal flow index has been one of the important issues in hydrology. In order to analyze the minimum flows in this study, 12 hydrometric stations with a statistical period of 30 years in n...

Trend Yield Analysis and Yield Growth Assumptions

Growth variation, final height and secular trend

Growth and body height have always been interesting topics in the public opinion. Particularly the stupendous increase of some 15 to 19 cm in final adult height during the last 150 years in most European countries (the “secular trend”), the concomitant changes in body and head proportions, the tendency towards early onset of sexual maturation, the changes in the age when final height is being r...

HIV/AIDS and Trend Growth in Africa

This paper provides new evidence regarding the impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on trend per capita growth in Africa. Panel data from 35 African countries is used to analyze the impact of HIV prevalence on the components of an augmented neo-classical growth model. Results show that HIV prevalence has a significant negative impact on trend per capita growth and its determinants, but only in high ...

Trend inflation , nominal rigidities , and endogenous growth

We study the implications of trend inflation for an economy’s long-run growth rate. To do so, we extend a New Keynesian model to allow for endogenous growth. The defining characteristic of the New Keynesian framework is that inflation and nominal price stickiness together induce relative price dispersion and thus reduce monopoly profits. When the framework is embedded in an endogenous growth mo...