Towards Reducing Climate Change Impact Assessment Process Uncertainty
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Managing Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections – Issues for Impact Assessment
Climate change projection is the term the IPCC Second Assessment Report (SAR) uses for model estimates of future climate. In that report, projections are presented in two forms: as single model scenarios and as projected ranges of uncertainty. In climate studies, scenarios are commonly regarded as being plausible, but have no further probability attached. Projected ranges of uncertainty can hav...
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[1] Hydrologic impacts of climate change are usually assessed by downscaling the General Circulation Model (GCM) output of large-scale climate variables to local-scale hydrologic variables. Such an assessment is characterized by uncertainty resulting from the ensembles of projections generated with multiple GCMs, which is known as intermodel or GCM uncertainty. Ensemble averaging with the assig...
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In line with the Comission's commitment to transparent and interactive policy-making, this documents aims at providing an overview and general impression of the feedback provided to the Commission in the context of a public consultation. The statements and opinions expressed in the document do therefore in no way necessarily reflect those of the Commission.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Environmental Processes
سال: 2015
ISSN: 2198-7491,2198-7505
DOI: 10.1007/s40710-015-0070-x