Time Series Analysis of Land Cover Change in Dry Mountains: Insights from the Tajik Pamirs

Greening and browning trends in vegetation have been observed many regions of the world recent decades. However, few studies focused on dry mountains. Here, we analyze land cover change Western Pamirs, Tajikistan. We aim to gain a deeper understanding these changes thus improve remote sensing mountainous areas. The study area is characterized by complex set attributes, making it prime example for this purpose. used generalized additive mixed models trend estimation 32-year Landsat time series (1988–2020) modified soil adjusted index, data, environmental socio-demographic data. With approach, were able cope with typical challenges that occur analysis areas, including background noise irregular found greening coexist they vary according class, topography, geographical distribution. was detected predominantly agricultural forestry indicating direct anthropogenic drivers change. At other sites, corresponds well increasing temperature. Browning frequently linked disastrous events, which are promoted temperatures.