The Value of Foresight: How Prospection Affects Decision-Making

The Value of Foresight: How Prospection Affects Decision-Making

Traditional theories of decision-making assume that utilities are based on the intrinsic value of outcomes; in turn, these values depend on associations between expected outcomes and the current motivational state of the decision-maker. This view disregards the fact that humans (and possibly other animals) have prospection abilities, which permit anticipating future mental processes and motivat...

Evolution prospection in decision making

This work concerns the problem of modelling evolving prospective agent systems. Inasmuch a prospective agent [1] looks ahead a number of steps into the future, it is confronted with the problem of having several different possible courses of evolution, and therefore needs to be able to prefer amongst them to decide the best to follow as seen from its present state. First it needs a priori prefe...

Intention-Based Decision Making with Evolution Prospection

We explore a coherent combination, for decision making, of two Logic Programming based implemented systems, Evolution Prospection and Intention Recognition. The Evolution Prospection system has proven to be a powerful system for decision making, designing and implementing several kinds of preferences and useful environment-triggering constructs. It is here enhanced with an ability to recognize ...

Effects of emotion on prospection during decision-making

In two experiments we examined the role of emotion, specifically worry, anxiety, and mood, on prospection during decision-making. Worry is a particularly relevant emotion to study in the context of prospection because high levels of worry may make individuals more aversive toward the uncertainty associated with the prospect of obtaining future improvements in rewards or states. Thus, high level...

How Experience Affects Perception in Expert Decision-Making