The reduction continuous rank probability score for evaluating discharge forecasts from hydrological ensemble prediction systems
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Ensemble Forecasts Using Rank Histograms
4 Any decision making process that relies on a probabilistic forecast of future events necessarily 5 requires a calibrated forecast. This paper proposes new methods for empirically assessing 6 forecast calibration in a multivariate setting where the probabilistic forecast is given by an 7 ensemble of equally probable forecast scenarios. Multivariate properties are mapped to a single 8 dimension...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Atmospheric Science Letters
سال: 2013
ISSN: 1530-261X
DOI: 10.1002/asl2.417