The fast response of Sahel precipitation to climate change allows effective mitigation action

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract Climate change will drive major perturbations of the West African summer monsoon. A zonal contrast in precipitation develop at end century, with an increase over central Sahel and a decrease western Sahel. Such results from antagonist effects fast (due to enhanced radiative warming land, North Hemisphere, relative South Hemisphere) slow (associated long-term changes oceanic circulation) responses increasing greenhouse gases. While such have already been assessed, less attention has given their temporality, issue importance promote efficient mitigation adaptation measures. Here, we analyse future evolution decomposed into response, showing that response dominates one. From this evidence, highlight strategies may be successful reducing effect climate on within few decades, by muting response. This decomposition also allows for better understanding uncertainty model predictions Africa.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: npj climate and atmospheric science

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2397-3722']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00179-6