The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract In recent decades, the warming in Arctic has been much faster than rest of world, a phenomenon known as amplification. Numerous studies report that is either twice, more or even three times fast globe on average. Here we show, by using several observational datasets which cover region, during last 43 years nearly four globe, higher ratio generally reported literature. We compared observed amplification with simulated state-of-the-art climate models, and found four-fold over 1979–2021 an extremely rare occasion model simulations. The ratios are consistent each other if calculated longer period; however comparison obscured uncertainties before 1979. Our results indicate unlikely event, models systematically tend to underestimate

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Communications earth & environment

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2662-4435']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00498-3