Spot–Futures Price Adjustments in the Nikkei 225: Linear or Smooth Transition? Financial Centre Leadership or Home Bias?

نویسندگان

چکیده

This paper studies price discovery in Nikkei 225 markets through the nonlinear smooth transition adjustments between spot and future prices across all three futures markets. We test for nonlinearity employ an exponential error correction model (ESTECM) with generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (EGARCH), allowing effects of transaction costs, heterogeneity, asymmetry adjustments. show that ESTECM-EGARCH is appropriate as it offers new insights into dynamics information transmission international For spot–futures dynamics, we find led before crisis, but afterwards. can be explained by lower level heterogeneity underlying costs after crisis. cross-border prices, foreign exchanges (Chicago Singapore) lead discovery, which attributed to their roles global centres flexible trading conditions, such a more heterogeneous structure costs. The leadership robust use linear or models, time differences Chicago other markets, long-run liquidity conditions strongly supports centre hypothesis.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of risk and financial management

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1911-8074', '1911-8066']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16020117