Short-Term Load Monitoring of a Power System Based on Neural Network

نویسندگان

چکیده

In order to improve the accuracy of power load forecasting, this paper proposes a neural network-based short-term monitoring method. First, original energy signal is decomposed by CEEMDAN algorithm obtain several eigenmode function components and residual components; functions are fed into NARX network for computational purposes. The partial hypothesis superimposed in following part final forecast. According test results, MAPE CEEMDAN-NARX model 4.753%, 3.540%, 0.343% lower than SVM, RNN, models, respectively, 3.741% 2.682% CEEMDAN-SVM CEEMDAN-RNN, respectively. RMSE 0.765% 101.7 MW, which 0.468% 45.2 MW Compared CEEMDAN-SVM, CEEMDAN-RNN decreased 0.986% 0.692%, 111.5 65.7 compared CEEMDAN-SVM. Conclusion that forecasting based on combination can effectively connect, reduce negative impact noise accuracy.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2050-7038']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1155/2023/4581408