Scenario approach to agricultural development in Azerbaijan

The purpose of this paper is to substantiate the optimal scenario develop agriculture for effective diversification Azerbaijani economy. By constructing an intersectoral balance model and using regression analysis, we propose approach determining development scenarios taking into account current trends industry: innovative, inertial, balanced. Using helps cause-and-effect relationships between indicators all sectors economy comprehensively assess impact agricultural on national In contrast classical model, modified proposed in our article provides possibilities not just production potential industries but also their contribution formation country's GDP way neutralizing oil dependence.