Retreat of Major European Tree Species Distribution under Climate Change—Minor Natives to the Rescue?

Climate change is projected to trigger strong declines in the potential distribution of major tree species Europe. While minor natives have moved into spotlight as alternatives, their ecology often poorly understood. We use an ensemble modelling approach on a set promising native gain insights under different climate scenarios. Moreover, we identify urgency and altered distributions favor by comparing niche dynamics five with six case study. Our models project stark range contractions shifts among species, strongly amplified high emission Abies alba, Picea abies Fagus sylvatica are affected strongest. also experiencing shifts, European Castanea sativa, Sorbus torminalis, Ulmus laevis all considerably expand across Accompanied Carpinus betulus, stable size, they hold substantially contribute sustainably adapting forest change.